Risk of war with Russia

Whether war is coming, when Russia could attack and what would happen next.

• When could Russia attack NATO?

  German intelligence says 2030, the Bundeswehr chief 2029. Where those estimates come from, what they mean and what could move them – no panic, no denial.

• What happens if Russia attacks NATO?

  No tank columns heading west. The realistic scenario starts smaller and elsewhere – Article 5, the likely targets, and what Europe’s defense would really rest on.

• Is Europe preparing for war?

  European allies and Canada spent over $570 billion in 2025 and pledged 5 percent of GDP. What the rearmament builds – and why it’s designed to prevent a war.